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·Sat 8:08 PM ET

Los Angeles D vs New York Y

New York Y is the current favorite at $0.56 ask on Kalshi and $0.62 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈59% chance. Prices as of 04:54 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Los Angeles D

Sat 8:08 PM ET

New York Y
40%50%60%70%80%8:37 PM8:49 PM9:01 PM9:13 PM9:22 PM47¢55¢

Moneyline

Los Angeles D8¢ gap
Kalshi47¢Polymarket55¢
New York Y6¢ gap
Kalshi56¢Polymarket62¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.