Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Alejandro Tabilo is the current favorite at $0.56 ask on Kalshi and $0.55 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈56% chance. Prices as of 02:53 UTC on Jul 17, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.
Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.
Alejandro TabiloFri 9:30 AM ET
Thiago Agustin TiranteIllustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.
Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. How the market matching API works · Real-time WebSocket API docs. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.