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·Fri 3:00 AM ET

Federica Trevisan vs Marie Vogt

Marie Vogt is the current favorite at $0.95 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈95% chance. Prices as of 02:58 UTC on Jul 17, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Federica Trevisan

Fri 3:00 AM ET

Marie Vogt
86%88%90%94%24h18h12h6hnow92¢

Illustrative shape drawn from current prices; the live intraday line wires in next.

Moneyline

Federica Trevisan
Kalshi
Polymarket92¢
Marie Vogt
Kalshi
Polymarket95¢

How this settles

Spread
Read each venue's rules

Kalshi

The following market refers to the Vogt vs Trevisan professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Krsko Quarterfinal after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Vogt and Federica Trevisan in the ITF Women Krsko, originally scheduled for July 17, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Vogt' if Marie Vogt advances against Federica Trevisan. This market will resolve to 'Federica Trevisan' if Federica Trevisan advances against Marie Vogt. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. How the market matching API works · Real-time WebSocket API docs. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.