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Chicago·Thu, Jul 16

Chicago Daily High · 2026-07-16

Market summary

The most likely bucket right now is 92-93°F

brackets offset today
Kalshi36¢Polymarket34¢2¢ gap

Prices as of 18:16 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Bracket alignment

brackets offset today
Polymarket Polymarket
≤89°24¢
90-91°27¢
92-93°34¢
94-95°15¢
96-97°
98-99°
100-101°
102-103°
104-105°
106-107°
≥108°
Kalshi Kalshi
≤91°
92-93°36¢
94-95°26¢
96-97°15¢
98-99°
≥100°

Both venues' brackets on one temperature axis — each price belongs to its own venue's real bracket. Offset days show as shifted segments.

Offset day: the venues' brackets differ by 1°F — the alignment strip above shows each venue's real brackets and prices. Prices are never combined.

Polymarket closes Jul 16, 12:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 17, 05:59 UTC

Settlement: Kalshi: NWS Midway (KMDW) · Poly: Wunderground O'Hare (KORD) — DIFFERENT airports

Bucket prices

KalshiPolymarket
94-95°F11¢ gap
Kalshi26¢Polymarket15¢
96-97°F11¢ gap
Kalshi15¢Polymarket
98-99°F7¢ gap
KalshiPolymarket
92-93°F2¢ gap
Kalshi36¢Polymarket34¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.