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·Thu 4:00 AM ET

Gaia Maduzzi vs Lia Karatancheva

Lia Karatancheva is the current favorite at $0.75 ask on Kalshi and $0.74 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈75% chance. Prices as of 04:50 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Gaia Maduzzi

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Lia Karatancheva
20%40%60%80%6:17 PM6:27 PM6:40 PM6:54 PM7:07 PM30¢29¢

Moneyline

Gaia Maduzzi1¢ gap
Kalshi30¢Polymarket29¢
Lia Karatancheva1¢ gap
Kalshi75¢Polymarket74¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.