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ATP·Sat 11:00 AM ET·K 1.3K · PM $42

Andrea Guerrieri vs Luca Nardi

Luca Nardi is the current favorite at $0.58 ask on Kalshi and $0.62 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈60% chance. Prices as of 06:53 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Andrea Guerrieri

ATP

Sat 11:00 AM ET

Luca Nardi
60%80%100%12:06 AM12:31 AM12:57 AM1:23 AM1:48 AM42¢47¢

Moneyline

Andrea Guerrieri5¢ gap
Kalshi42¢Polymarket47¢
Luca Nardi4¢ gap
Kalshi58¢Polymarket62¢

Totals

full match
Over33¢ gap
Kalshi66¢Polymarket99¢
Under40¢ gap
Kalshi59¢Polymarket99¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.