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·Thu 4:00 AM ET

Filip Peliwo vs Zsombor Velcz

Zsombor Velcz is the current favorite at $0.67 ask on Kalshi and $0.66 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈67% chance. Prices as of 04:58 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Filip Peliwo

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Zsombor Velcz
36%40%3:55 PM4:01 PM4:06 PM4:09 PM4:13 PM38¢37¢

Moneyline

Filip Peliwo1¢ gap
Kalshi38¢Polymarket37¢
Zsombor Velcz1¢ gap
Kalshi67¢Polymarket66¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.