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ATPCHALLENGER·Sat 1:00 PM ET

Juan Pablo Varillas vs Nicolas Mejia

Nicolas Mejia is the current favorite at $0.62 ask on Kalshi and $0.61 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈62% chance. Prices as of 06:52 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Juan Pablo Varillas

ATPCHALLENGER

Sat 1:00 PM ET

Nicolas Mejia
38%42%44%1:20 AM1:27 AM1:35 AM1:41 AM1:48 AM40¢40¢

Moneyline

Juan Pablo Varillas
Kalshi40¢Polymarket40¢
Nicolas Mejia1¢ gap
Kalshi62¢Polymarket61¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.