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ITFW·Tue 10:00 AM ET

Haruka Kaji vs Lea Ma

Lea Ma is the current favorite at $0.56 ask on Kalshi and $0.55 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈56% chance. Prices as of 05:03 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Haruka Kaji

ITFW

Tue 10:00 AM ET

Lea Ma
46%50%10:34 PM10:45 PM10:52 PM10:58 PM11:05 PM49¢48¢

Moneyline

Haruka Kaji1¢ gap
Kalshi49¢Polymarket48¢
Lea Ma1¢ gap
Kalshi56¢Polymarket55¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.