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·Thu 12:00 PM ET

Oliver Bonding vs Timo Legout

Timo Legout is the current favorite at $0.72 ask on Kalshi and $0.68 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈70% chance. Prices as of 07:58 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Oliver Bonding

Thu 12:00 PM ET

Timo Legout
40%50%60%70%12:24 AM1:01 AM1:39 AM2:17 AM2:55 AM32¢34¢

Moneyline

Oliver Bonding2¢ gap
Kalshi32¢Polymarket34¢
Timo Legout4¢ gap
Kalshi72¢Polymarket68¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.