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·Thu 5:30 AM ET

Andrea De Marchi vs Pierre Antoine Tailleu

Andrea De Marchi is the current favorite at $0.83 ask on Kalshi and $0.81 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈82% chance. Prices as of 04:57 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Andrea De Marchi

Thu 5:30 AM ET

Pierre Antoine Tailleu
90%100%6:17 PM7:48 PM9:27 PM11:11 PM12:55 AM83¢81¢

Moneyline

Andrea De Marchi2¢ gap
Kalshi83¢Polymarket81¢
Pierre Antoine Tailleu1¢ gap
Kalshi21¢Polymarket22¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.