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·Thu 8:00 AM ET

Lasse Poertner vs Niklas Guttau

Lasse Poertner is the current favorite at $0.63 ask on Kalshi and $0.59 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈61% chance. Prices as of 07:59 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Lasse Poertner

Thu 8:00 AM ET

Niklas Guttau
58%60%62%64%66%12:24 AM1:00 AM1:36 AM2:13 AM2:49 AM63¢59¢

Moneyline

Lasse Poertner4¢ gap
Kalshi63¢Polymarket59¢
Niklas Guttau1¢ gap
Kalshi42¢Polymarket43¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.