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·Thu 4:00 AM ET

Mathys Picard vs Sean Cuenin

Sean Cuenin is the current favorite at $0.93 ask on Kalshi and $0.91 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈92% chance. Prices as of 04:57 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Mathys Picard

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Sean Cuenin
6%8%10%12%14%6:17 PM7:19 PM8:26 PM9:37 PM10:50 PM11¢

Moneyline

Mathys Picard3¢ gap
Kalshi8¢Polymarket11¢
Sean Cuenin2¢ gap
Kalshi93¢Polymarket91¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.