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·Wed 3:00 PM ET·K 128

Fluxo W7M vs Rush

Fluxo W7M is the current favorite at $0.85 ask on Kalshi and $0.93 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈89% chance. Prices as of 11:05 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Fluxo W7M

Wed 3:00 PM ET

Rush
90%95%1:21 AM1:37 AM1:54 AM2:18 AM2:37 AM85¢93¢

Moneyline

Fluxo W7M8¢ gap
Kalshi85¢Polymarket93¢
Rush72¢ gap
Kalshi18¢Polymarket90¢

Totals

full match
Over23¢ gap
Kalshi74¢Polymarket97¢
Under1¢ gap
Kalshi98¢Polymarket97¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.