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ITFW·Tue 12:15 AM ET

Niehua Tian vs Xiaowei Li

Xiaowei Li is the current favorite at $0.60 ask on Kalshi and $0.59 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈60% chance. Prices as of 23:10 UTC on Jul 13, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Niehua Tian

ITFW

Tue 12:15 AM ET

Xiaowei Li
60%80%100%12:02 PM12:20 PM12:43 PM12:59 PM1:16 PM45¢43¢

Moneyline

Niehua Tian2¢ gap
Kalshi45¢Polymarket43¢
Xiaowei Li1¢ gap
Kalshi60¢Polymarket59¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.