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·Thu 10:00 AM ET·K 61K · PM $12.1K

Daniel Merida vs Titouan Droguet

Daniel Merida is the current favorite at $0.62 ask on Kalshi and $0.59 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈61% chance. Prices as of 04:50 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Daniel Merida

Thu 10:00 AM ET

Titouan Droguet
45%50%55%65%6:17 PM7:44 PM9:22 PM11:05 PM12:48 AM63¢59¢

Moneyline

Daniel Merida3¢ gap
Kalshi62¢Polymarket59¢
Titouan Droguet2¢ gap
Kalshi40¢Polymarket42¢

Totals

full match
Over2¢ gap
Kalshi48¢Polymarket50¢
Under
Kalshi53¢Polymarket53¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.