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·Thu 1:00 PM ET

Daniel Milavsky vs Liam Draxl

Liam Draxl is the current favorite at $0.68 ask on Kalshi and $0.67 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈68% chance. Prices as of 07:53 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Daniel Milavsky

Thu 1:00 PM ET

Liam Draxl
32%36%12:49 AM1:21 AM1:53 AM2:25 AM2:57 AM33¢34¢

Moneyline

Daniel Milavsky1¢ gap
Kalshi33¢Polymarket34¢
Liam Draxl1¢ gap
Kalshi68¢Polymarket67¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.