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ATPCHALLENGER·Thu 3:35 PM ET

Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi is the current favorite at $0.53 ask on Kalshi and $0.52 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈53% chance. Prices as of 19:46 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Hernan Casanova

ATPCHALLENGER

Thu 3:35 PM ET

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
46%50%52%3:07 AM6:14 AM9:28 AM12:36 PM3:43 PM48¢49¢

Moneyline

Hernan Casanova1¢ gap
Kalshi48¢Polymarket49¢
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi1¢ gap
Kalshi53¢Polymarket52¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.