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ITF·Thu 11:30 AM ET

Leonardo Primucci vs Nicolas Jadoun

Nicolas Jadoun is the current favorite at $0.58 ask on Kalshi and $0.57 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈57% chance. Prices as of 13:18 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Leonardo Primucci

ITF

Thu 11:30 AM ET

Nicolas Jadoun
43%44%46%47%6:16 AM6:58 AM7:44 AM8:25 AM9:08 AM45¢45¢

Moneyline

Leonardo Primucci
Kalshi45¢Polymarket45¢
Nicolas Jadoun1¢ gap
Kalshi58¢Polymarket57¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.