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·Wed 12:30 PM ET

Tiago Pereira vs Yi Zhou

Yi Zhou is the current favorite at $0.65 ask on Kalshi and $0.63 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈64% chance. Prices as of 11:06 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Tiago Pereira

Wed 12:30 PM ET

Yi Zhou
38%44%1:03 AM1:15 AM1:24 AM1:30 AM1:36 AM40¢42¢

Moneyline

Tiago Pereira2¢ gap
Kalshi40¢Polymarket42¢
Yi Zhou2¢ gap
Kalshi65¢Polymarket63¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.