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ITF·Sat 6:00 AM ET

Arvid Nordquist vs Noritaka Koizumi

Arvid Nordquist is the current favorite at $0.64 ask on Kalshi and $0.62 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈63% chance. Prices as of 04:58 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Arvid Nordquist

ITF

Sat 6:00 AM ET

Noritaka Koizumi
60%66%6:21 PM6:27 PM6:33 PM6:39 PM6:45 PM64¢62¢

Moneyline

Arvid Nordquist2¢ gap
Kalshi64¢Polymarket62¢
Noritaka Koizumi1¢ gap
Kalshi41¢Polymarket40¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.