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ITF·Sat 4:30 AM ET

Paul Barbier Gazeu vs Tuncay Duran

Tuncay Duran is the current favorite at $0.63 ask on Kalshi and $0.61 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈62% chance. Prices as of 05:01 UTC on Jul 11, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Paul Barbier Gazeu

ITF

Sat 4:30 AM ET

Tuncay Duran
40%44%6:09 PM6:18 PM6:27 PM6:36 PM6:45 PM42¢41¢

Moneyline

Paul Barbier Gazeu1¢ gap
Kalshi42¢Polymarket41¢
Tuncay Duran2¢ gap
Kalshi63¢Polymarket61¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.