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·Thu 5:00 AM ET

Richard Antoni vs Ruben Hartig

Ruben Hartig is the current favorite at $0.61 ask on Kalshi and $0.64 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈63% chance. Prices as of 04:54 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Richard Antoni

Thu 5:00 AM ET

Ruben Hartig
40%80%100%6:17 PM6:23 PM6:31 PM6:40 PM6:49 PM53¢56¢

Moneyline

Richard Antoni3¢ gap
Kalshi53¢Polymarket56¢
Ruben Hartig3¢ gap
Kalshi61¢Polymarket64¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.