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ATPCHALLENGER·Sun 12:00 PM ET

Matias Soto vs Nicolas Mejia

Nicolas Mejia is the current favorite at $0.67 ask on Kalshi and $0.67 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈67% chance. Prices as of 06:44 UTC on Jul 12, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Matias Soto

ATPCHALLENGER

Sun 12:00 PM ET

Nicolas Mejia
32%36%12:16 AM12:38 AM1:04 AM1:23 AM1:45 AM33¢34¢

Moneyline

Matias Soto1¢ gap
Kalshi33¢Polymarket34¢
Nicolas Mejia
Kalshi67¢Polymarket67¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.