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·Thu 12:00 PM ET

Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaard

Thijs Boogaard is the current favorite at $0.60 ask on Kalshi and $0.59 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈60% chance. Prices as of 07:57 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Gerard Campana Lee

Thu 12:00 PM ET

Thijs Boogaard
38%40%44%12:24 AM1:03 AM1:41 AM2:17 AM2:55 AM41¢42¢

Moneyline

Gerard Campana Lee1¢ gap
Kalshi41¢Polymarket42¢
Thijs Boogaard1¢ gap
Kalshi60¢Polymarket59¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.