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ITFW·Thu 5:30 AM ET

Katja Wiersholm vs Matilde Mariani

Matilde Mariani is the current favorite at $0.60 ask on Kalshi and $0.59 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈60% chance. Prices as of 06:51 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Katja Wiersholm

ITFW

Thu 5:30 AM ET

Matilde Mariani
40%45%50%12:13 AM12:54 AM1:32 AM2:11 AM2:49 AM42¢44¢

Moneyline

Katja Wiersholm2¢ gap
Kalshi42¢Polymarket44¢
Matilde Mariani1¢ gap
Kalshi60¢Polymarket59¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.