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·Thu 4:00 AM ET

Alejandro Juan Mano vs Sergi Perez Contri

Sergi Perez Contri is the current favorite at $0.65 ask on Kalshi and $0.64 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈65% chance. Prices as of 04:50 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Alejandro Juan Mano

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Sergi Perez Contri
34%38%40%6:17 PM7:47 PM9:22 PM11:05 PM12:48 AM36¢39¢

Moneyline

Alejandro Juan Mano3¢ gap
Kalshi36¢Polymarket39¢
Sergi Perez Contri1¢ gap
Kalshi65¢Polymarket64¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.