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·Fri 10:00 PM ET·K 49 · PM $363

Connecticut vs Phoenix

Phoenix is the current favorite at $0.66 ask on Kalshi and $0.67 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈67% chance. Prices as of 05:52 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Connecticut

Fri 10:00 PM ET

Phoenix
32%34%38%10:29 PM11:06 PM11:44 PM12:21 AM12:58 AM35¢36¢

Moneyline

Connecticut1¢ gap
Kalshi35¢Polymarket36¢
Phoenix1¢ gap
Kalshi66¢Polymarket67¢

Totals

incl OT
Under2¢ gap
Kalshi49¢Polymarket51¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.