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LA·Wed, Jul 15

LA Daily High · 2026-07-15

Market summary

The most likely bucket right now is 80-81°F

brackets offset today
Kalshi46¢Polymarket42¢4¢ gap

Prices as of 19:18 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Bracket alignment

brackets offset today
Polymarket Polymarket
≤75°
76-77°
78-79°33¢
80-81°42¢
82-83°22¢
84-85°
86-87°
88-89°
90-91°
92-93°
≥94°
Kalshi Kalshi
≤77°
78-79°24¢
80-81°46¢
82-83°18¢
84-85°
≥86°

Both venues' brackets on one temperature axis — each price belongs to its own venue's real bracket. Offset days show as shifted segments.

Offset day: the venues' brackets differ by 1°F — the alignment strip above shows each venue's real brackets and prices. Prices are never combined.

Polymarket closes Jul 15, 12:00 UTC · Kalshi closes Jul 16, 07:59 UTC

Settlement: LAX (Kalshi: NWS CLI · Poly: Wunderground KLAX)

Bucket prices

KalshiPolymarketCombined liquidity
78-79°F9¢ gap
Kalshi24¢Polymarket33¢
$160.38
80-81°F4¢ gap
Kalshi46¢Polymarket42¢
$66.38
82-83°F4¢ gap
Kalshi18¢Polymarket22¢
$47.16
84-85°F3¢ gap
KalshiPolymarket
$1.01

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.