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ITFW·Wed 7:30 AM ET

Amelie Brooks vs Manon Leonard

Manon Leonard is the current favorite at $0.89 ask on Kalshi and $0.88 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈89% chance. Prices as of 11:06 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Amelie Brooks

ITFW

Wed 7:30 AM ET

Manon Leonard
10%15%20%12:29 AM2:03 AM3:47 AM5:26 AM7:02 AM11¢13¢

Moneyline

Amelie Brooks2¢ gap
Kalshi11¢Polymarket13¢
Manon Leonard1¢ gap
Kalshi89¢Polymarket88¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.