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·Thu 6:00 AM ET

Katja Wiersholm vs Naiktha Bains

Naiktha Bains is the current favorite at $0.84 ask on Kalshi and $0.98 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈91% chance. Prices as of 04:56 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Katja Wiersholm

Thu 6:00 AM ET

Naiktha Bains
40%60%80%100%6:28 PM6:31 PM6:33 PM6:36 PM6:37 PM94¢49¢

Moneyline

Katja Wiersholm27¢ gap
Kalshi22¢Polymarket49¢
Naiktha Bains14¢ gap
Kalshi84¢Polymarket98¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.