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·Wed 4:30 AM ET

Nina Vargova vs Sara Cakarevic

Nina Vargova is the current favorite at $0.91 ask on Kalshi and $0.91 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈91% chance. Prices as of 11:01 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Nina Vargova

Wed 4:30 AM ET

Sara Cakarevic
80%85%90%95%8:26 PM10:39 PM12:54 AM3:31 AM6:06 AM100¢

Moneyline

Nina Vargova
Kalshi91¢Polymarket91¢
Sara Cakarevic1¢ gap
Kalshi11¢Polymarket10¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.