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·Wed 4:00 AM ET

Emma Van Poppel vs Ksenia Smirnova

Ksenia Smirnova is the current favorite at $0.95 ask on Kalshi and $0.94 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈95% chance. Prices as of 11:04 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Emma Van Poppel

Wed 4:00 AM ET

Ksenia Smirnova
4%6%8%10%3:53 PM4:52 PM5:54 PM6:57 PM8:00 PM7¢7¢

Moneyline

Emma Van Poppel1¢ gap
Kalshi6¢Polymarket7¢
Ksenia Smirnova1¢ gap
Kalshi95¢Polymarket94¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.