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·Thu 4:00 AM ET

Karim Mabrouk vs Toufik Sahtali

Toufik Sahtali is the current favorite at $0.90 ask on Kalshi and $0.90 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈90% chance. Prices as of 04:55 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Karim Mabrouk

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Toufik Sahtali
0%40%60%80%100%6:17 PM7:48 PM9:25 PM11:10 PM12:52 AM11¢11¢

Moneyline

Karim Mabrouk
Kalshi11¢Polymarket11¢
Toufik Sahtali
Kalshi90¢Polymarket90¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.