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ITFW·Tue 6:00 AM ET

Denise Valente vs Sana Garakani

Denise Valente is the current favorite at $0.85 ask on Kalshi and $0.87 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈86% chance. Prices as of 04:07 UTC on Jul 14, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Denise Valente

ITFW

Tue 6:00 AM ET

Sana Garakani
90%95%100%6:24 PM6:33 PM6:42 PM6:50 PM6:58 PM85¢87¢

Moneyline

Denise Valente2¢ gap
Kalshi85¢Polymarket87¢
Sana Garakani2¢ gap
Kalshi78¢Polymarket80¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.