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·Thu 12:00 PM ET·K 8.4K · PM $1K

Damir Dzumhur vs Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi is the current favorite at $0.67 ask on Kalshi and $0.66 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈67% chance. Prices as of 04:51 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Damir Dzumhur

Thu 12:00 PM ET

Matteo Arnaldi
32%36%38%6:17 PM7:45 PM9:27 PM11:10 PM12:49 AM34¢35¢

Moneyline

Damir Dzumhur1¢ gap
Kalshi34¢Polymarket35¢
Matteo Arnaldi1¢ gap
Kalshi67¢Polymarket66¢

Totals

full match
Over1¢ gap
Kalshi52¢Polymarket53¢
Under1¢ gap
Kalshi49¢Polymarket50¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.