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UFC·Sat 5:00 PM ET

Chidi Njokuani vs Joel Alvarez

Joel Alvarez is the current favorite at $0.72 ask on Kalshi — an implied ≈72% chance. Prices as of 04:52 UTC on Aug 10, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Chidi Njokuani

UFC

Sat 5:00 PM ET

Joel Alvarez
26%28%30%34%8:48 AM12:42 PM4:20 PM8:51 PM12:50 AM32¢

Moneyline

Chidi Njokuani2¢ gap
Kalshi30¢askPolymarket32¢ask
Joel Alvarez
Kalshi72¢ask
Polymarket

How this settles

Spread
Read each venue's rules

Kalshi

The following market refers to the Njokuani vs Alvarez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Chidi Njokuani" if Chidi Njokuani is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joel Álvarez at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Joel Álvarez" if Joel Álvarez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. How the market matching API works · Real-time WebSocket API docs.