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·Thu 4:00 AM ET

Javier Barranco Cosano vs Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento

Javier Barranco Cosano is the current favorite at $0.92 ask on Kalshi and $0.91 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈92% chance. Prices as of 04:55 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Javier Barranco Cosano

Thu 4:00 AM ET

Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
90%92%94%96%6:17 PM7:19 PM8:26 PM9:37 PM10:50 PM91¢

Moneyline

Javier Barranco Cosano1¢ gap
Kalshi92¢Polymarket91¢
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento2¢ gap
KalshiPolymarket11¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.