Skip to content
← All games
·Thu 3:30 AM ET

Alexander Gschiel vs Melios Efstathiou

Melios Efstathiou is the current favorite at $0.76 ask on Kalshi and $0.74 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈75% chance. Prices as of 04:53 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Alexander Gschiel

Thu 3:30 AM ET

Melios Efstathiou
0%20%40%60%80%100%6:17 PM7:19 PM8:26 PM9:36 PM10:48 PM28¢32¢

Moneyline

Alexander Gschiel4¢ gap
Kalshi28¢Polymarket32¢
Melios Efstathiou2¢ gap
Kalshi76¢Polymarket74¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.