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·Thu 7:00 AM ET

Kira Pavlova vs Zoziya Kardava

Kira Pavlova is the current favorite at $0.80 ask on Kalshi and $0.78 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈79% chance. Prices as of 04:54 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Kira Pavlova

Thu 7:00 AM ET

Zoziya Kardava
76%82%7:32 PM7:39 PM7:47 PM7:53 PM8:00 PM80¢78¢

Moneyline

Kira Pavlova2¢ gap
Kalshi80¢Polymarket78¢
Zoziya Kardava
Kalshi24¢Polymarket24¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.