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·Thu 2:00 PM ET

Akira Santillan vs Hugo Grenier

Hugo Grenier is the current favorite at $0.63 ask on Kalshi and $0.62 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈62% chance. Prices as of 09:06 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Akira Santillan

Thu 2:00 PM ET

Hugo Grenier
38%40%42%2:10 AM2:29 AM2:49 AM3:10 AM3:28 AM41¢39¢

Moneyline

Akira Santillan2¢ gap
Kalshi41¢Polymarket39¢
Hugo Grenier1¢ gap
Kalshi63¢Polymarket62¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.