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·Thu 5:30 AM ET

Han Shi vs Ruien Zhang

Han Shi is the current favorite at $0.90 ask on Kalshi and $0.90 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈90% chance. Prices as of 04:51 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Han Shi

Thu 5:30 AM ET

Ruien Zhang
80%85%95%6:17 PM6:23 PM6:31 PM6:40 PM6:49 PM90¢90¢

Moneyline

Han Shi
Kalshi90¢Polymarket90¢
Ruien Zhang
Kalshi15¢Polymarket15¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.