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·Thu 7:30 AM ET

Irene Burillo vs Valentina Steiner

Irene Burillo is the current favorite at $0.68 ask on Kalshi and $0.65 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈67% chance. Prices as of 04:50 UTC on Jul 16, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Irene Burillo

Thu 7:30 AM ET

Valentina Steiner
64%66%70%7:53 PM8:08 PM8:21 PM8:35 PM8:50 PM68¢65¢

Moneyline

Irene Burillo3¢ gap
Kalshi68¢Polymarket65¢
Valentina Steiner1¢ gap
Kalshi37¢Polymarket38¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.