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CS2·Thu 3:30 PM ET·K 47

Marsborne vs Regain

Marsborne is the current favorite at $0.70 ask on Kalshi and $0.73 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈72% chance. Prices as of 13:17 UTC on Jul 9, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Marsborne

CS2

Thu 3:30 PM ET

Regain
80%90%4:08 AM5:22 AM6:37 AM7:54 AM9:08 AM70¢73¢

Moneyline

Marsborne3¢ gap
Kalshi70¢Polymarket73¢
Regain7¢ gap
Kalshi35¢Polymarket28¢

Totals

full match
Over43¢ gap
Kalshi54¢Polymarket97¢
Under
Kalshi—
Polymarket97¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key.