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·Wed 8:30 AM ET

Francisco Rocha vs Matisse Farzam

Francisco Rocha is the current favorite at $0.64 ask on Kalshi and $0.62 ask on Polymarket — an implied ≈63% chance. Prices as of 10:58 UTC on Jul 15, 2026, delayed about five minutes. Source markets: Kalshi · Polymarket. Resolution follows each venue's own market terms.

Curious how long a gap like this stays open? We measured it.

Francisco Rocha

Wed 8:30 AM ET

Matisse Farzam
50%70%80%90%100%9:02 PM9:18 PM9:34 PM9:54 PM10:10 PM64¢62¢

Moneyline

Francisco Rocha2¢ gap
Kalshi64¢Polymarket62¢
Matisse Farzam
Kalshi40¢Polymarket40¢

Prices delayed about five minutes. Each venue's best ask per outcome; Kalshi asks are derived from its NO bids (ask = $1 minus the bid). Kalshi volume counts contracts, Polymarket volume is in dollars. Real-time prices and the full depth ladder are available via the WebSocket stream with an API key. Feed reference DINO-XKQZ7-9182.